I never think that way. When I lose a tournament (like yesterday) I review all my moves post mortem (that's medical talk for my new reader, Dr. Chako!) to see how I could improve my play.
I mentioned the two critical hands that were my demise yesterday and I've been reviewing my thinking on them. First one was having Q-8 spades in the big blind, and no raise preflop. I flopped a flush, with J-10-Rag.....bet big and got called by Ms. Ace. I don't think I did anything wrong there! Turn was the king of spades. I KNEW that was bad for me. 4 spades on the board means one card can beat me, that Ace.
I make another bet to see where I am and Ms. Ace raises me. What does that tell me? She has the goddam ace! Yet I call (first bad move). It's hard to lay down 2nd best flush but I should've. (that's pride fucking with me). River is a non card and since I'm a scaredy cat I check and she bets 2,000. Now I KNOW I'm beat, but I think about it and talk myself into with the following reasoning:
- maybe it isn't the ace of spades that she has.
- maybe she's trying to buy the pot because I checked.
- there's alot of money in the pot....2,000 chips to pick up maybe 7,000
Also, that last reason - the money in the pot...pot odds. I don't like calling because of pot odds. It's good to know where you are, but my theory is there could be a gazillion chips in the pot, but chips in the pot doesn't turn your hand into a winning hand. It doesn't matter how much is in the pot if you've got a losing hand you need to lay it down. I didn't follow my usual advice.
One final thought. If you've been reading along you know that I'm a studier of tells, and use them in my live play all the time. Tells are a critical part of my success (yeah sometimes I have success). The tells I use have to do with glancing, breathing patterns, blinking patterns, talking loudly, softly, making speeches, etc.
One of the easiest tells to use aren't any of those things, and it's usually quite effective. When your opponent makes a bet and is waiting for you to call or fold, take a look at him, a good look, and ask yourself this: Does he look like a winner or a loser? That's it! It's really very effective! Someone who doesn't want a call starts to look miserable while he's waiting, a winner starts to look cocky like "come on, call me" and of course some people stare off into space and try to show nothing. They won't talk, glance or any of that stuff....but ask yourself that question again "Does he look like a winner or a loser", and you'll find that answer within yourself....you just have to listen.
So let's go back to that gorgeous picture of Mary:
Does she look like a winner?
The answer is No. Does she look like a chain smoker? I say I can see the effects of smoking on her face, but that's not what this post's about.
I snapped this picture while she was in a hand that she later folded. Not that she looks like Princess Di when she's winning but she has a glow in her eyes when she has a good hand that's very absent here.
What I like to do when I'm NOT in a hand, but observing players going at it, is ask myself "Does he look like a winner?" and I make my guess and get to see if I'm right. Practice, practice, practice!
Editor's Note: I talked to Cancer Al today. He and Mary chopped first and second. Then they went to some casino where there is only slot machines and they lost EVERY penny in the slot machines. $500! Every penny of both of their cashes. That just REALLY pisses me off....I no likey slot machines.